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NIO stock has not been trading all that well over the last few months despite strength in other electric vehicle (EV) stocks.
While Tesla is not exactly hitting new 52-week highs, the stock has been holding up pretty well now that it's back above $1,000.
That's true even as CEO Elon Musk has continued to dump billions of dollars worth of the stock.
Ford , General Motors and others have been holding up pretty well too. However, NIO stock is not in the same category.
That's even as the company reportedly prepares for launch in the U.S. market.
Down about 28% so far this month, NIO stock has been in a world of pain. In fact, just today the stock fell to new 2021 lows and was down about 7% at the session low.
Now down in five of the last six months and bulls are wondering where the bottom is.
Even despite the pullback, the company still commands a market cap of roughly $50 billion. It would not be hard to argue that even the current valuation is a generous — at least by historical valuations given to the auto industry.
The current chart does not have a great look to it. However, there is a chance we see a reversal from here.
Notice how NIO stock broke below the prior December low of $27.79, dropped to a new low of $27.52 and then reclaimed the prior low ($27.79).
It also did so with some bullish divergence on the RSI reading (blue arrow).
Aggressive bulls can trade this reversal for a short-term day trade against the new low near $27.50 or they can look to swing it for a potentially larger move.
In the latter case, we want to see the stock hold above $27.79, and continue to push higher from here.
Specifically, let's see how it handles the 10-day moving average and should it get there, the $30 level.
Above $30 and the next three levels are pretty straight-forward: $31.50, the 21-day moving average and the gap-fill at $32.90.
On the downside, a break of $27.92 puts the $27.52 low back in play. Below that and we could see a test of the 10-quarter moving average, which is currently at $25.60 but rising quickly.
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